10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 112.30 · S2 111.18 · S3 125.40 · S4 90.32
④ Position
77% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (112-129), entry at R1 129, target mid 120, stop 134
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 128.70 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 112.30, stop 131.27
- IF 失守 112.30 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 111.18 → 110.62
- IF 突破 131.27 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 135.13 → 147.90
- IF 跌穿 90.32 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
128.70
Target
120.50
Stop
133.88
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.03%
Reward
+6.37%
R:R
1.58 : 1
Backtest 197d
29% win (n=7) · +0.0%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 147.90
- R1 (today high)
- 128.70
- Last
- 125.00
- S1 KEY
- 112.30
- S3
- 125.40
- S4 (crash)
- 90.32
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.