10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 11.73 · S2 11.61 · S3 10.64 · S4 11.31
④ Position
80% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (12-13), entry at R1 13, target mid 12, stop 14
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 13.21 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 11.73, stop 13.47
- IF 失守 11.73 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 11.61 → 11.55
- IF 突破 13.47 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 13.87 → 13.36
- IF 跌穿 11.31 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
13.21
Target
12.47
Stop
13.66
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.41%
Reward
+5.60%
R:R
1.64 : 1
Backtest 90d
55% win (n=11) · +0.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 13.36
- R1 (today high)
- 13.21
- Last
- 12.92
- S1 KEY
- 11.73
- S3
- 10.64
- S4 (crash)
- 11.31
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.