10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 125.03 · S2 123.78 · S3 96.50 · S4 66.80
④ Position
56% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (125-184), pos 55%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 184.10 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 125.03, stop 187.78
- IF 失守 125.03 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 123.78 → 123.15
- IF 突破 187.78 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 193.31 → 220.63
- IF 跌穿 66.80 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d
50% win (n=6) · +9.0%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 220.63
- R1 (today high)
- 184.10
- Last
- 157.80
- S1 KEY
- 125.03
- S3
- 96.50
- S4 (crash)
- 66.80
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.