10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend recovery
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 436.00 · S2 431.64 · S3 420.40 · S4 505.20
④ Position
10% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (436-498), entry at S1 436, target mid 467, stop 418
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 497.80 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 436.00, stop 507.76
- IF 失守 436.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 431.64 → 429.46
- IF 突破 507.76 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 522.69 → 572.70
- IF 跌穿 505.20 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
436.00
Target
466.90
Stop
418.46
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.02%
Reward
+7.09%
R:R
1.76 : 1
Backtest 60d
67% win (n=6) · +4.3%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 572.70
- R1 (today high)
- 497.80
- Last
- 442.00
- S1 KEY
- 436.00
- S3
- 420.40
- S4 (crash)
- 505.20
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.