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HK · PETROCHINA

00857.HK 10.06 -0.79%

PETROCHINA · No edge in recent regime · Phase: Base building

Phase: Base building Action: SELL Strategy: SELL_R1 Reliability:
00857.HK daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Base building
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 9.30 · S2 9.21 · S3 9.33 · S4 7.57
④ Position 74% of box
⑤ Bias (短) SELL
⑥ Notes SELL_R1: in box (9-10), entry at R1 10, target mid 10, stop 11

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 10.32 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 9.30, stop 10.53
  • IF 失守 9.30 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 9.21 → 9.16
  • IF 突破 10.53 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 10.84 → 11.93
  • IF 跌穿 7.57 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan SELL

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy SELL_R1
Trigger 10.32
Target 9.81
Stop 10.68
Phase match ✓ 配對
Risk +3.54%
Reward +4.94%
R:R 1.40 : 1

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
11.93
R1 (today high)
10.32
Last
10.06
S1 KEY
9.30
S3
9.33
S4 (crash)
7.57
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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