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HK · CNOOC

00883.HK 25.12 -1.10%

CNOOC · No edge in recent regime · Phase: Base building

Phase: Base building Action: SELL Strategy: SELL_R1 Reliability:
00883.HK daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Base building
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 22.52 · S2 22.29 · S3 25.05 · S4 19.19
④ Position 86% of box
⑤ Bias (短) SELL
⑥ Notes SELL_R1: in box (23-26), entry at R1 26, target mid 24, stop 26

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 25.54 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 22.52, stop 26.05
  • IF 失守 22.52 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 22.29 → 22.18
  • IF 突破 26.05 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 26.82 → 30.43
  • IF 跌穿 19.19 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan SELL

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy SELL_R1
Trigger 25.54
Target 24.03
Stop 26.45
Phase match ✓ 配對
Risk +3.56%
Reward +5.91%
R:R 1.66 : 1

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
30.43
R1 (today high)
25.54
Last
25.12
S1 KEY
22.52
S3
25.05
S4 (crash)
19.19
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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