10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 8.21 · S2 8.13 · S3 6.49 · S4 6.93
④ Position
61% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (8-10), entry at R1 10, target mid 9, stop 11
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 10.17 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 8.21, stop 10.37
- IF 失守 8.21 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 8.13 → 8.09
- IF 突破 10.37 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 10.68 → 9.79
- IF 跌穿 6.93 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
10.17
Target
9.19
Stop
10.92
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+7.40%
Reward
+9.64%
R:R
1.30 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 9.79
- R1 (today high)
- 10.17
- Last
- 9.41
- S1 KEY
- 8.21
- S3
- 6.49
- S4 (crash)
- 6.93
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.