10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 44.12 · S2 43.68 · S3 41.69 · S4 36.61
④ Position
66% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (44-49), entry at R1 49, target mid 47, stop 50
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 48.98 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 44.12, stop 49.96
- IF 失守 44.12 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 43.68 → 43.46
- IF 突破 49.96 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 51.43 → 50.96
- IF 跌穿 36.61 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
48.98
Target
46.55
Stop
49.96
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.00%
Reward
+4.96%
R:R
2.48 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 50.96
- R1 (today high)
- 48.98
- Last
- 47.32
- S1 KEY
- 44.12
- S3
- 41.69
- S4 (crash)
- 36.61
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.