10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 13.32 · S2 13.19 · S3 13.32 · S4 8.63
④ Position
83% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (13-17), entry at R1 17, target mid 15, stop 18
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 17.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 13.32, stop 17.34
- IF 失守 13.32 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 13.19 → 13.12
- IF 突破 17.34 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 17.85 → 21.96
- IF 跌穿 8.63 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
17.00
Target
15.16
Stop
18.20
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+7.03%
Reward
+10.82%
R:R
1.54 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 21.96
- R1 (today high)
- 17.00
- Last
- 16.38
- S1 KEY
- 13.32
- S3
- 13.32
- S4 (crash)
- 8.63
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.