10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 11.37 · S2 11.26 · S3 12.85 · S4 9.14
④ Position
92% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (11-13), entry at R1 13, target mid 12, stop 14
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 13.20 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 11.37, stop 13.46
- IF 失守 11.37 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 11.26 → 11.20
- IF 突破 13.46 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 13.86 → 17.05
- IF 跌穿 9.14 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
13.20
Target
12.29
Stop
13.92
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+5.48%
Reward
+6.93%
R:R
1.26 : 1
Backtest 60d
71% win (n=7) · +3.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 17.05
- R1 (today high)
- 13.20
- Last
- 13.05
- S1 KEY
- 11.37
- S3
- 12.85
- S4 (crash)
- 9.14
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.