10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 19.06 · S2 18.87 · S3 22.64 · S4 29.98
④ Position
71% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_VOLATILE: ATR14 6.6% / box width 37% — 波動太大（thresholds: ATR≥6% 或 box≥35%），range mean-reversion 暫停，等波動收窄先再睇。
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 28.58 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 19.06, stop 29.15
- IF 失守 19.06 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 18.87 → 18.77
- IF 突破 29.15 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 30.01 → 44.28
- IF 跌穿 29.98 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_VOLATILE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d
40% win (n=5) · +0.1%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 44.28
- R1 (today high)
- 28.58
- Last
- 25.84
- S1 KEY
- 19.06
- S3
- 22.64
- S4 (crash)
- 29.98
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.