10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 19.90 · S2 19.70 · S3 21.09 · S4 26.83
④ Position
82% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (20-28), entry at R1 28, target mid 24, stop 28
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 27.56 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 19.90, stop 28.11
- IF 失守 19.90 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 19.70 → 19.60
- IF 突破 28.11 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 28.94 → 36.89
- IF 跌穿 26.83 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
27.56
Target
23.73
Stop
28.11
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.00%
Reward
+13.90%
R:R
6.95 : 1
Backtest 90d
62% win (n=13) · +7.7%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 36.89
- R1 (today high)
- 27.56
- Last
- 26.14
- S1 KEY
- 19.90
- S3
- 21.09
- S4 (crash)
- 26.83
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.