10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 10.28 · S2 10.18 · S3 11.82 · S4 9.57
④ Position
90% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (10-12), entry at R1 12, target mid 11, stop 12
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 11.80 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 10.28, stop 12.04
- IF 失守 10.28 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 10.18 → 10.13
- IF 突破 12.04 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 12.39 → 14.99
- IF 跌穿 9.57 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
11.80
Target
11.04
Stop
12.33
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.50%
Reward
+6.44%
R:R
1.43 : 1
Backtest 60d
67% win (n=9) · +7.4%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 14.99
- R1 (today high)
- 11.80
- Last
- 11.64
- S1 KEY
- 10.28
- S3
- 11.82
- S4 (crash)
- 9.57
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.