10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 58.10 · S2 57.52 · S3 60.50 · S4 60.50
④ Position
72% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (58-100), entry at R1 100, target mid 79, stop 102
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 100.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 58.10, stop 102.00
- IF 失守 58.10 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 57.52 → 57.23
- IF 突破 102.00 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 105.00 → 125.00
- IF 跌穿 60.50 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
100.00
Target
79.05
Stop
102.00
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.00%
Reward
+20.95%
R:R
10.48 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 125.00
- R1 (today high)
- 100.00
- Last
- 88.30
- S1 KEY
- 58.10
- S3
- 60.50
- S4 (crash)
- 60.50
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.