10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend recovery
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 40.40 · S2 40.00 · S3 43.64 · S4 58.95
④ Position
15% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (40-45), entry at S1 40, target mid 43, stop 38
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 45.34 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 40.40, stop 46.25
- IF 失守 40.40 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 40.00 → 39.79
- IF 突破 46.25 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 47.61 → 61.95
- IF 跌穿 58.95 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
40.40
Target
42.87
Stop
38.48
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.76%
Reward
+6.11%
R:R
1.29 : 1
Backtest 197d
57% win (n=7) · +7.7%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 61.95
- R1 (today high)
- 45.34
- Last
- 41.14
- S1 KEY
- 40.40
- S3
- 43.64
- S4 (crash)
- 58.95
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.