10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 17.78 · S2 17.60 · S3 14.23 · S4 13.28
④ Position
50% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (18-20), pos 50%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 19.67 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 17.78, stop 20.06
- IF 失守 17.78 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 17.60 → 17.51
- IF 突破 20.06 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 20.65 → 17.47
- IF 跌穿 13.28 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 90d
50% win (n=12) · +2.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 17.47
- R1 (today high)
- 19.67
- Last
- 18.73
- S1 KEY
- 17.78
- S3
- 14.23
- S4 (crash)
- 13.28
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.