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T-1 · 2026-08-25
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DARK
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HK · LI NING
02331.HK
13.66
-4.14%
LI NING · No edge in recent regime · Phase: Downtrend active
Phase:
Downtrend active
Action:
WAIT
Strategy:
WAIT_RANGE
Reliability:
—
10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 13.48 · S2 13.35 · S3 17.29 · S4 16.18
④ Position
9% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (13-16), pos 9%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
IF
反彈至 15.50 區間,
THEN
SELL_R1 entry,target 13.48, stop 15.81
IF
失守 13.48 (S1),
THEN
SHORT confirmation,target 13.35 → 13.28
IF
突破 15.81 企穩,
THEN
反轉睇 16.28 → 22.93
IF
跌穿 16.18 (crash low),
THEN
中期 bear confirm,avoid
Action Plan
WAIT
⚠️
呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。
只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Key levels
R3 (Aug high)
22.93
R1 (today high)
15.50
Last
13.66
S1 KEY
13.48
S3
17.29
S4 (crash)
16.18
⚠
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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