10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 14.06 · S2 13.92 · S3 12.73 · S4 14.41
④ Position
94% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (14-15), entry at R1 15, target mid 15, stop 16
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 15.25 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 14.06, stop 15.55
- IF 失守 14.06 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 13.92 → 13.85
- IF 突破 15.55 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 16.01 → 15.62
- IF 跌穿 14.41 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
15.25
Target
14.66
Stop
15.55
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.00%
Reward
+3.90%
R:R
1.95 : 1
Backtest 90d
60% win (n=5) · +4.0%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 15.62
- R1 (today high)
- 15.25
- Last
- 15.18
- S1 KEY
- 14.06
- S3
- 12.73
- S4 (crash)
- 14.41
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.