10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 44.76 · S2 44.31 · S3 50.95 · S4 63.05
④ Position
95% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (45-49), entry at R1 49, target mid 47, stop 50
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 48.64 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 44.76, stop 49.61
- IF 失守 44.76 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 44.31 → 44.09
- IF 突破 49.61 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 51.07 → 69.65
- IF 跌穿 63.05 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
48.64
Target
46.70
Stop
50.14
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.07%
Reward
+3.99%
R:R
1.30 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 69.65
- R1 (today high)
- 48.64
- Last
- 48.44
- S1 KEY
- 44.76
- S3
- 50.95
- S4 (crash)
- 63.05
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.