10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 23.36 · S2 23.13 · S3 20.37 · S4 25.57
④ Position
18% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (23-29), entry at S1 23, target mid 26, stop 22
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 29.26 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 23.36, stop 29.85
- IF 失守 23.36 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 23.13 → 23.01
- IF 突破 29.85 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 30.72 → 25.63
- IF 跌穿 25.57 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
23.36
Target
26.31
Stop
21.78
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+6.74%
Reward
+12.63%
R:R
1.87 : 1
Backtest 90d
55% win (n=11) · +14.7%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 25.63
- R1 (today high)
- 29.26
- Last
- 24.40
- S1 KEY
- 23.36
- S3
- 20.37
- S4 (crash)
- 25.57
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.