10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 16.00 · S2 15.84 · S3 15.37 · S4 14.44
④ Position
24% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (16-20), entry at S1 16, target mid 18, stop 15
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 19.64 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 16.00, stop 20.03
- IF 失守 16.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 15.84 → 15.76
- IF 突破 20.03 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 20.62 → 24.77
- IF 跌穿 14.44 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
16.00
Target
17.82
Stop
14.80
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+7.50%
Reward
+11.38%
R:R
1.52 : 1
Backtest 197d
60% win (n=5) · +2.3%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 24.77
- R1 (today high)
- 19.64
- Last
- 16.86
- S1 KEY
- 16.00
- S3
- 15.37
- S4 (crash)
- 14.44
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.