10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend recovery
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 3.17 · S2 3.14 · S3 3.43 · S4 4.25
④ Position
9% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (3-4), entry at S1 3, target mid 3, stop 3
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 3.79 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 3.17, stop 3.87
- IF 失守 3.17 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 3.14 → 3.12
- IF 突破 3.87 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 3.98 → 4.45
- IF 跌穿 4.25 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
3.17
Target
3.48
Stop
2.97
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+6.48%
Reward
+9.71%
R:R
1.50 : 1
Backtest 90d
60% win (n=5) · +4.4%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 4.45
- R1 (today high)
- 3.79
- Last
- 3.23
- S1 KEY
- 3.17
- S3
- 3.43
- S4 (crash)
- 4.25
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.