10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 109.20 · S2 108.11 · S3 91.99 · S4 99.29
④ Position
18% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (109-131), entry at S1 109, target mid 120, stop 103
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 130.90 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 109.20, stop 133.52
- IF 失守 109.20 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 108.11 → 107.56
- IF 突破 133.52 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 137.45 → 132.50
- IF 跌穿 99.29 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
109.20
Target
120.05
Stop
103.09
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+5.59%
Reward
+9.94%
R:R
1.78 : 1
Backtest 197d
60% win (n=5) · +2.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 132.50
- R1 (today high)
- 130.90
- Last
- 113.00
- S1 KEY
- 109.20
- S3
- 91.99
- S4 (crash)
- 99.29
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.