10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend recovery
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 86.65 · S2 85.78 · S3 93.65 · S4 98.00
④ Position
12% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (87-106), entry at S1 87, target mid 96, stop 79
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 106.20 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 86.65, stop 108.32
- IF 失守 86.65 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 85.78 → 85.35
- IF 突破 108.32 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 111.51 → 156.00
- IF 跌穿 98.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
86.65
Target
96.43
Stop
78.89
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+8.95%
Reward
+11.28%
R:R
1.26 : 1
Backtest 90d
50% win (n=22) · +3.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 156.00
- R1 (today high)
- 106.20
- Last
- 88.90
- S1 KEY
- 86.65
- S3
- 93.65
- S4 (crash)
- 98.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.