10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 110.10 · S2 109.00 · S3 116.47 · S4 139.97
④ Position
20% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (110-130), entry at S1 110, target mid 120, stop 103
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 130.30 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 110.10, stop 132.91
- IF 失守 110.10 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 109.00 → 108.45
- IF 突破 132.91 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 136.82 → 142.97
- IF 跌穿 139.97 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
110.10
Target
120.20
Stop
102.73
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+6.69%
Reward
+9.17%
R:R
1.37 : 1
Backtest 60d
60% win (n=5) · +0.4%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 142.97
- R1 (today high)
- 130.30
- Last
- 114.20
- S1 KEY
- 110.10
- S3
- 116.47
- S4 (crash)
- 139.97
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.