10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 140.10 · S2 138.70 · S3 137.38 · S4 171.58
④ Position
47% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (140-172), pos 47%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 172.40 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 140.10, stop 175.85
- IF 失守 140.10 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 138.70 → 138.00
- IF 突破 175.85 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 181.02 → 228.08
- IF 跌穿 171.58 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d
75% win (n=8) · +11.5%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 228.08
- R1 (today high)
- 172.40
- Last
- 155.20
- S1 KEY
- 140.10
- S3
- 137.38
- S4 (crash)
- 171.58
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.