10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 102.89 · S2 101.86 · S3 81.97 · S4 105.27
④ Position
86% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (103-117), entry at R1 117, target mid 110, stop 121
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 117.34 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 102.89, stop 119.69
- IF 失守 102.89 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 101.86 → 101.35
- IF 突破 119.69 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 123.21 → 112.74
- IF 跌穿 105.27 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
117.34
Target
110.11
Stop
120.75
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.91%
Reward
+6.16%
R:R
2.12 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 112.74
- R1 (today high)
- 117.34
- Last
- 115.33
- S1 KEY
- 102.89
- S3
- 81.97
- S4 (crash)
- 105.27
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.