10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 352.73 · S2 349.20 · S3 300.56 · S4 223.47
④ Position
45% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (353-397), pos 45%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 396.95 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 352.73, stop 404.89
- IF 失守 352.73 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 349.20 → 347.44
- IF 突破 404.89 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 416.80 → 435.72
- IF 跌穿 223.47 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d
75% win (n=8) · +1.4%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 435.72
- R1 (today high)
- 396.95
- Last
- 372.56
- S1 KEY
- 352.73
- S3
- 300.56
- S4 (crash)
- 223.47
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.