10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 256.90 · S2 254.33 · S3 188.16 · S4 203.26
④ Position
89% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (257-286), entry at R1 286, target mid 271, stop 295
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 285.59 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 256.90, stop 291.30
- IF 失守 256.90 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 254.33 → 253.05
- IF 突破 291.30 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 299.87 → 227.43
- IF 跌穿 203.26 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
285.59
Target
271.24
Stop
294.55
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.14%
Reward
+5.02%
R:R
1.60 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 227.43
- R1 (today high)
- 285.59
- Last
- 282.32
- S1 KEY
- 256.90
- S3
- 188.16
- S4 (crash)
- 203.26
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.