10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 436.33 · S2 431.97 · S3 316.66 · S4 203.40
④ Position
35% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (436-564), pos 35%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 563.76 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 436.33, stop 575.04
- IF 失守 436.33 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 431.97 → 429.79
- IF 突破 575.04 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 591.95 → 462.40
- IF 跌穿 203.40 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 462.40
- R1 (today high)
- 563.76
- Last
- 481.01
- S1 KEY
- 436.33
- S3
- 316.66
- S4 (crash)
- 203.40
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.