10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 116.08 · S2 114.92 · S3 99.26 · S4 98.73
④ Position
60% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (116-144), entry at R1 144, target mid 130, stop 147
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 143.72 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 116.08, stop 146.59
- IF 失守 116.08 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 114.92 → 114.34
- IF 突破 146.59 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 150.91 → 135.44
- IF 跌穿 98.73 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
143.72
Target
129.90
Stop
146.60
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.00%
Reward
+9.62%
R:R
4.81 : 1
Backtest 60d
56% win (n=9) · +2.7%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 135.44
- R1 (today high)
- 143.72
- Last
- 132.79
- S1 KEY
- 116.08
- S3
- 99.26
- S4 (crash)
- 98.73
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.