10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 297.50 · S2 294.52 · S3 364.64 · S4 359.00
④ Position
6% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (298-438), pos 6%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 437.79 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 297.50, stop 446.55
- IF 失守 297.50 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 294.52 → 293.04
- IF 突破 446.55 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 459.68 → 616.67
- IF 跌穿 359.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d
36% win (n=28) · +5.7%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 616.67
- R1 (today high)
- 437.79
- Last
- 306.06
- S1 KEY
- 297.50
- S3
- 364.64
- S4 (crash)
- 359.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.