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AXP 337.25 -0.02%

American Express Company · SELL_R1 · 67% win (60d, n=6) · +1.3% · Phase: Base building

Phase: Base building Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE · SELL_R1 edge Reliability: MED

註:Backtest win% 係「SELL_R1」策略喺過去 60 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

AXP daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Base building
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 329.07 · S2 325.78 · S3 290.97 · S4 299.75
④ Position 35% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (329-352), pos 35%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 352.49 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 329.07, stop 359.54
  • IF 失守 329.07 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 325.78 → 324.13
  • IF 突破 359.54 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 370.11 → 339.98
  • IF 跌穿 299.75 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✓ 配對
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d 67% win (n=6) · +1.3%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
339.98
R1 (today high)
352.49
Last
337.25
S1 KEY
329.07
S3
290.97
S4 (crash)
299.75
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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