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BABA 119.00 +0.44%

Alibaba Group Holding Limited · BUY_S1 · 54% win (197d, n=24) · +8.1% · Phase: Base building

Phase: Base building Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE · BUY_S1 edge Reliability: MED

註:Backtest win% 係「BUY_S1」策略喺過去 197 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

BABA daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Base building
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 112.94 · S2 111.81 · S3 117.93 · S4 132.72
④ Position 31% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (113-133), pos 31%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 132.57 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 112.94, stop 135.22
  • IF 失守 112.94 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 111.81 → 111.25
  • IF 突破 135.22 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 139.20 → 146.87
  • IF 跌穿 132.72 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✓ 配對
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d 54% win (n=24) · +8.1%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
146.87
R1 (today high)
132.57
Last
119.00
S1 KEY
112.94
S3
117.93
S4 (crash)
132.72
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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