10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 157.33 · S2 155.76 · S3 116.50 · S4 75.70
④ Position
49% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (157-253), pos 49%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 253.31 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 157.33, stop 258.38
- IF 失守 157.33 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 155.76 → 154.97
- IF 突破 258.38 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 265.98 → 322.83
- IF 跌穿 75.70 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d
50% win (n=8) · +2.1%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 322.83
- R1 (today high)
- 253.31
- Last
- 204.02
- S1 KEY
- 157.33
- S3
- 116.50
- S4 (crash)
- 75.70
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.