10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 495.68 · S2 490.72 · S3 464.01 · S4 471.91
④ Position
20% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (496-538), pos 21%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 537.74 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 495.68, stop 548.49
- IF 失守 495.68 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 490.72 → 488.24
- IF 突破 548.49 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 564.63 → 500.86
- IF 跌穿 471.91 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 500.86
- R1 (today high)
- 537.74
- Last
- 504.32
- S1 KEY
- 495.68
- S3
- 464.01
- S4 (crash)
- 471.91
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.