10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 124.87 · S2 123.62 · S3 100.11 · S4 103.42
④ Position
74% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (125-150), entry at R1 150, target mid 138, stop 153
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 150.24 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 124.87, stop 153.24
- IF 失守 124.87 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 123.62 → 123.00
- IF 突破 153.24 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 157.75 → 131.13
- IF 跌穿 103.42 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
150.24
Target
137.55
Stop
153.24
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.00%
Reward
+8.44%
R:R
4.22 : 1
Backtest 197d
60% win (n=15) · +2.6%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 131.13
- R1 (today high)
- 150.24
- Last
- 143.64
- S1 KEY
- 124.87
- S3
- 100.11
- S4 (crash)
- 103.42
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.