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US · Caterpillar, Inc.

CAT 812.44 +0.18%

Caterpillar, Inc. · BREAK_LONG · 89% win (197d, n=9) · +10.2% · Phase: Downtrend active

Phase: Downtrend active Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE · BREAK_LONG edge Reliability: MED

註:Backtest win% 係「BREAK_LONG」策略喺過去 197 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

CAT daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Downtrend active
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 776.00 · S2 768.24 · S3 662.85 · S4 537.08
④ Position 23% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (776-935), pos 23%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 935.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 776.00, stop 953.70
  • IF 失守 776.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 768.24 → 764.36
  • IF 突破 953.70 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 981.75 → 931.35
  • IF 跌穿 537.08 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d 89% win (n=9) · +10.2%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
931.35
R1 (today high)
935.00
Last
812.44
S1 KEY
776.00
S3
662.85
S4 (crash)
537.08
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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