10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 323.29 · S2 320.06 · S3 278.39 · S4 168.22
④ Position
42% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (323-463), pos 42%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 462.69 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 323.29, stop 471.94
- IF 失守 323.29 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 320.06 → 318.44
- IF 突破 471.94 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 485.82 → 605.61
- IF 跌穿 168.22 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d
50% win (n=6) · +9.3%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 605.61
- R1 (today high)
- 462.69
- Last
- 381.83
- S1 KEY
- 323.29
- S3
- 278.39
- S4 (crash)
- 168.22
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.