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T-1 · 2026-08-25
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DARK
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US · ConocoPhillips
COP
131.95
-1.05%
ConocoPhillips · No edge in recent regime · Phase: Uptrend
Phase:
Uptrend
Action:
WAIT
Strategy:
WAIT_RANGE
Reliability:
—
10-step framework
① Phase
Uptrend
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 114.71 · S2 113.56 · S3 112.21 · S4 85.57
④ Position
81% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (115-136), pos 81%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
IF
反彈至 135.88 區間,
THEN
SELL_R1 entry,target 114.71, stop 138.60
IF
失守 114.71 (S1),
THEN
SHORT confirmation,target 113.56 → 112.99
IF
突破 138.60 企穩,
THEN
反轉睇 142.67 → 135.87
IF
跌穿 85.57 (crash low),
THEN
中期 bear confirm,avoid
Action Plan
WAIT
⚠️
呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。
只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Key levels
R3 (Aug high)
135.87
R1 (today high)
135.88
Last
131.95
S1 KEY
114.71
S3
112.21
S4 (crash)
85.57
⚠
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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