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US · ConocoPhillips

COP 131.95 -1.05%

ConocoPhillips · No edge in recent regime · Phase: Uptrend

Phase: Uptrend Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE Reliability:
COP daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Uptrend
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 114.71 · S2 113.56 · S3 112.21 · S4 85.57
④ Position 81% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (115-136), pos 81%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 135.88 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 114.71, stop 138.60
  • IF 失守 114.71 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 113.56 → 112.99
  • IF 突破 138.60 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 142.67 → 135.87
  • IF 跌穿 85.57 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
135.87
R1 (today high)
135.88
Last
131.95
S1 KEY
114.71
S3
112.21
S4 (crash)
85.57
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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