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US · Costco Wholesale Corporation

COST 962.54 -0.91%

Costco Wholesale Corporation · No edge in recent regime · Phase: Downtrend active

Phase: Downtrend active Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RR_TOO_THIN Reliability:
COST daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Downtrend active
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 925.77 · S2 916.51 · S3 945.45 · S4 844.06
④ Position 69% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RR_TOO_THIN: stop 已加闊到 1.5×ATR 但 R:R 唔夠 — 等更好嘅位置先入場。 | rr_floor: stop 加闊到 1.5×ATR 後 R:R < 1.2,賠率唔夠,降級 WAIT。等價格更近 trigger 或者波動收窄先再睇。

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 978.80 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 925.77, stop 998.38
  • IF 失守 925.77 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 916.51 → 911.88
  • IF 突破 998.38 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,027.74 → 1,096.50
  • IF 跌穿 844.06 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RR_TOO_THIN
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
1,096.50
R1 (today high)
978.80
Last
962.54
S1 KEY
925.77
S3
945.45
S4 (crash)
844.06
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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