10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 175.90 · S2 174.14 · S3 163.52 · S4 174.57
④ Position
83% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (176-213), entry at R1 213, target mid 195, stop 225
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 213.17 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 175.90, stop 217.43
- IF 失守 175.90 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 174.14 → 173.26
- IF 突破 217.43 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 223.83 → 204.86
- IF 跌穿 174.57 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
213.17
Target
194.53
Stop
225.00
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+5.55%
Reward
+8.74%
R:R
1.58 : 1
Backtest 90d
50% win (n=6) · +0.4%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 204.86
- R1 (today high)
- 213.17
- Last
- 206.87
- S1 KEY
- 175.90
- S3
- 163.52
- S4 (crash)
- 174.57
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.