10-step framework
① Phase
Uptrend
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 176.46 · S2 174.70 · S3 90.45 · S4 85.68
④ Position
22% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (176-228), entry at S1 176, target mid 202, stop 164
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 227.50 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 176.46, stop 232.05
- IF 失守 176.46 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 174.70 → 173.81
- IF 突破 232.05 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 238.88 → 182.87
- IF 跌穿 85.68 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
176.46
Target
201.98
Stop
164.16
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+6.97%
Reward
+14.46%
R:R
2.07 : 1
Backtest 60d
50% win (n=8) · +1.8%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 182.87
- R1 (today high)
- 227.50
- Last
- 187.76
- S1 KEY
- 176.46
- S3
- 90.45
- S4 (crash)
- 85.68
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.