10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 109.23 · S2 108.14 · S3 75.20 · S4 70.54
④ Position
14% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (109-125), pos 14%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 124.71 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 109.23, stop 127.20
- IF 失守 109.23 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 108.14 → 107.59
- IF 突破 127.20 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 130.95 → 121.43
- IF 跌穿 70.54 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d
40% win (n=10) · +0.6%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 121.43
- R1 (today high)
- 124.71
- Last
- 111.35
- S1 KEY
- 109.23
- S3
- 75.20
- S4 (crash)
- 70.54
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.