10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 49.42 · S2 48.93 · S3 37.88 · S4 33.63
④ Position
82% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RR_TOO_THIN: stop 已加闊到 1.5×ATR 但 R:R 唔夠 — 等更好嘅位置先入場。 ｜ rr_floor: stop 加闊到 1.5×ATR 後 R:R < 1.2，賠率唔夠，降級 WAIT。等價格更近 trigger 或者波動收窄先再睇。
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 52.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 49.42, stop 53.04
- IF 失守 49.42 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 48.93 → 48.68
- IF 突破 53.04 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 54.60 → 47.18
- IF 跌穿 33.63 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RR_TOO_THIN
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 90d
43% win (n=23) · +4.4%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 47.18
- R1 (today high)
- 52.00
- Last
- 51.54
- S1 KEY
- 49.42
- S3
- 37.88
- S4 (crash)
- 33.63
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.