10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 13.75 · S2 13.61 · S3 11.11 · S4 12.38
④ Position
8% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (14-16), entry at S1 14, target mid 15, stop 13
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 16.29 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 13.75, stop 16.62
- IF 失守 13.75 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 13.61 → 13.54
- IF 突破 16.62 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 17.10 → 17.78
- IF 跌穿 12.38 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
13.75
Target
15.02
Stop
13.16
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.29%
Reward
+9.24%
R:R
2.15 : 1
Backtest 90d
67% win (n=6) · +1.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 17.78
- R1 (today high)
- 16.29
- Last
- 13.95
- S1 KEY
- 13.75
- S3
- 11.11
- S4 (crash)
- 12.38
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.