10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 143.77 · S2 142.33 · S3 76.01 · S4 73.55
④ Position
36% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (144-172), pos 36%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 172.09 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 143.77, stop 175.53
- IF 失守 143.77 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 142.33 → 141.61
- IF 突破 175.53 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 180.69 → 138.11
- IF 跌穿 73.55 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d
44% win (n=9) · +4.3%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 138.11
- R1 (today high)
- 172.09
- Last
- 153.94
- S1 KEY
- 143.77
- S3
- 76.01
- S4 (crash)
- 73.55
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.