10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 897.68 · S2 888.70 · S3 777.00 · S4 530.16
④ Position
22% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (898-1100), pos 21%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1,099.66 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 897.68, stop 1,121.65
- IF 失守 897.68 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 888.70 → 884.21
- IF 突破 1,121.65 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,154.64 → 1,181.95
- IF 跌穿 530.16 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d
50% win (n=8) · +1.1%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 1,181.95
- R1 (today high)
- 1,099.66
- Last
- 941.09
- S1 KEY
- 897.68
- S3
- 777.00
- S4 (crash)
- 530.16
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.