10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 977.70 · S2 967.92 · S3 780.50 · S4 754.00
④ Position
77% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (978-1077), entry at R1 1077, target mid 1027, stop 1112
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1,077.21 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 977.70, stop 1,098.75
- IF 失守 977.70 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 967.92 → 963.03
- IF 突破 1,098.75 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,131.07 → 1,027.22
- IF 跌穿 754.00 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
1,077.21
Target
1,027.45
Stop
1,112.31
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.26%
Reward
+4.62%
R:R
1.42 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 1,027.22
- R1 (today high)
- 1,077.21
- Last
- 1,054.77
- S1 KEY
- 977.70
- S3
- 780.50
- S4 (crash)
- 754.00
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.