10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 391.38 · S2 387.47 · S3 376.51 · S4 443.87
④ Position
81% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (391-436), entry at R1 436, target mid 414, stop 453
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 436.50 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 391.38, stop 445.23
- IF 失守 391.38 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 387.47 → 385.51
- IF 突破 445.23 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 458.33 → 556.52
- IF 跌穿 443.87 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
436.50
Target
413.94
Stop
453.32
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.85%
Reward
+5.17%
R:R
1.34 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 556.52
- R1 (today high)
- 436.50
- Last
- 427.73
- S1 KEY
- 391.38
- S3
- 376.51
- S4 (crash)
- 443.87
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.